Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 58.161052 65.061632 72.230890 80.217328 88.847260 97.873395 108.009451
2024-10-06 48.147478 58.408095 69.695589 82.952790 98.013537 114.509156 133.857936
2024-10-13 41.916817 53.819489 67.438809 84.009526 103.455615 125.383659 151.804411
2024-10-20 37.021163 49.992446 65.355175 84.620870 107.853398 134.686407 167.727100
2024-10-27 31.854782 45.182877 61.500631 82.555324 108.592436 139.327313 177.917014
2024-11-03 29.894486 44.120840 62.006216 85.605267 115.361647 151.074706 196.576947
2024-11-10 27.638306 42.418104 61.485521 87.189521 120.201673 160.442034 212.413125
2024-11-17 25.057494 40.025841 59.847803 87.145809 122.844710 167.021553 224.827093
2024-11-24 23.933966 39.520919 60.610269 90.160765 129.368889 178.472204 243.387649
2024-12-01 21.854398 37.473828 59.124525 90.050608 131.741721 184.638951 255.350523
2024-12-08 19.692959 35.119270 57.041869 88.973948 132.713959 188.933799 264.914160
2024-12-15 18.084424 33.454599 55.806507 88.948834 135.004676 194.889494 276.612400
2024-12-22 16.703262 32.067391 54.932505 89.438246 138.068882 202.015052 290.100472
2024-12-29 16.235194 32.096295 56.132007 92.902411 145.287721 214.762054 311.142503
2025-01-05 15.191377 31.093337 55.708128 93.965200 149.150202 223.055374 326.410808
2025-01-12 14.147896 29.998910 55.065923 94.645208 152.442336 230.589653 340.737705
2025-01-19 12.537198 27.784143 52.543112 92.395880 151.461468 232.244610 347.175787
2025-01-26 12.266395 27.909299 53.711721 95.713345 158.499818 244.939350 368.575738
2025-02-02 11.682837 27.417122 53.848140 97.435271 163.236099 254.509001 385.852583
2025-02-09 10.797838 26.288822 52.875817 97.387780 165.352409 260.443241 398.231554
2025-02-16 10.594849 26.438356 54.021470 100.663152 172.410630 273.358774 420.291848
2025-02-23 9.800214 25.368701 53.050006 100.543520 174.392999 279.143172 432.596140
2025-03-02 8.894902 23.992075 51.470471 99.374096 174.739391 282.578660 441.655484